What is the demand case for the new hotel pipeline and will supply dilute existing hotel NOI?
The impact is highly corridor-specific. The three Universal on-campus hotels (Stella Nova, Terra Luna, Helios Grand, 2,000 rooms delivered in 2025) are not competing with I-Drive hotels for the same guests; they are capturing Epic Universe-specific demand that did not exist before May 2025. The InterContinental 700-key (Q1 2026 groundbreaking) is positioned as upscale overflow. The Grand Hyatt Orlando (1,200-2,500 keys, phased) is the supply event that deserves scrutiny. It will directly compete for convention groups currently booking the Hyatt Regency and Hilton Orlando. However, defensive renovation commitments ($75M each) suggest incumbents see this as manageable.